Elite #3

Georgia

SEC · 2026 preseason baseline

Projection

94.1

SP+ preseason

+25.5

Returning prod.

68%

Recruiting

100%

Coach signal

1

2026 portal cycle

Inside a standard deviation of zero.

−0.30z

talent-weighted z-score

applied: −0.06 pts

Top gains

  • 4★ QBBryson Beaver from Oregon
  • 4★ EDGEAmaris Williams from Auburn
  • 4★ RBDante Dowdell from Kentucky

Top losses

  • 4★ EDGEElo Modozie to Purdue
  • 4★ CBDominick Kelly to Ohio State
  • 4★ OTNyier Daniels

Portal moves are weighted by recruiting stars, position (QB and skill positions weighted higher), and eligibility. Withdrawn entrants are excluded. The z-score is normalized across teams appearing in the 2026 portal cycle. See the full portal leaderboard →

2025 season · final grade

The 2025 season, graded.

C CeilingC

On the projection.

Realized SP+ +24.1 · SP+ rank #6

Projection

84.6

Realized

84.4

Δ

−0.1

Δ grade

C

Ceiling SECONDARY

C

Projection vs realized

Realized 84.4 Projection 84.6

The yellow tick is Georgia's August 13, 2025 preseason SP+ rating (+24.2) — the last preseason release before Week 1, from Bill Connelly / ESPN. The dark bar is the final 2025 SP+ (Connelly, post-championship). Both mapped to the 0–100 scale by score = 50 + SP+ × (50/35), clamped [1, 99]. The gap between them is Δ: −0.1. Δ banded A through F gives the letter grade.

What the grade means

A C means Georgia finished within a narrow band of the projection (Δ −0.1, band −6 to +8). The season the projection described.

Ceiling grade: C · secondary lens · 0% of downside headroom used. Δ divided by the room Georgia had to move (upside if Δ is positive, downside if negative). Ceiling normalizes for projection height: a projection-90 team has 10 points of upside room, a projection-50 team has 50.

The letter grade always records the same relationship: realized minus projection, banded A through F. A team can sit in the Elite tier and still receive a D. LSU in 2025 is that case.

Read the methodology →

Offense (2025)

37.0

SP+ offensive rating

Defense (2025)

14.8

SP+ defensive rating (lower = better)

Nat'l SP+ rank

#6

Final 2025 SP+ ranking

2025 portal cycle (context)

Net negative on talent-weighted flow.

−2.39z

talent-weighted z-score

Top gains

  • 4★ EDGEElo Modozie from Army
  • 4★ WRNoah Thomas from Texas A&M
  • 4★ WRZachariah Branch from USC

Top losses

  • 5★ EDGEDamon Wilson II to Missouri
  • 4★ QBCarson Beck to Miami
  • 4★ CBJulian Humphrey to Texas A&M

Portal moves are weighted by recruiting stars, position (QB and skill positions weighted higher), and eligibility. Withdrawn entrants are excluded. The z-score is normalized across teams appearing in the 2025 portal cycle (context).

Returning production (2025): 37% of prior-year PPA back on the field (Bill Connelly's percentPPA metric via CFBD). This is a narrative reference — the 2025 grade itself is Δ vs preseason SP+ only.