2025 season · Final
Data through final 2025 SP+ · grades refresh when SP+ revises
Sorted by Δ (realized − projection), descending. Largest positive Δ first.
| # | Team | Conf | Proj | Real | Δ | Grade | Ceiling / Floor (secondary) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Texas | American Athletic | 38.7 | 69.7 | +31.0 | A | CeilingB |
| 2 | Indiana | Big Ten | 67.9 | 96.3 | +28.4 | A | CeilingA |
| 3 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 23.4 | 51.3 | +27.9 | A | CeilingB |
| 4 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 34.4 | 59.6 | +25.1 | A | CeilingB |
| 5 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 34.9 | 58.4 | +23.6 | A | CeilingB |
| 6 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 55.4 | 79.0 | +23.6 | A | CeilingB |
| 7 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 66.6 | 89.4 | +22.9 | A | CeilingA |
| 8 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 39.9 | 61.4 | +21.6 | A | CeilingB |
| 9 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 21.3 | 42.3 | +21.0 | A | CeilingB |
| 10 | South Florida | American Athletic | 46.0 | 66.6 | +20.6 | A | CeilingB |
| 11 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 27.9 | 48.0 | +20.1 | A | CeilingB |
| 12 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 33.4 | 52.4 | +19.0 | B | CeilingB |
| 13 | Virginia | ACC | 46.9 | 65.9 | +19.0 | B | CeilingB |
| 14 | Utah State | Mountain West | 27.7 | 45.6 | +17.9 | B | CeilingB |
| 15 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 40.9 | 58.3 | +17.4 | B | CeilingB |
| 16 | Temple | American Athletic | 25.3 | 42.7 | +17.4 | B | CeilingB |
| 17 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 22.6 | 39.9 | +17.3 | B | CeilingB |
| 18 | Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 32.1 | 48.1 | +16.0 | B | CeilingB |
| 19 | Wake Forest | ACC | 43.3 | 58.1 | +14.9 | B | CeilingB |
| 20 | Arizona | Big 12 | 52.6 | 67.1 | +14.6 | B | CeilingB |
| 21 | Utah | Big 12 | 67.3 | 81.7 | +14.4 | B | CeilingB |
| 22 | UConn | FBS Independents | 43.0 | 57.3 | +14.3 | B | CeilingB |
| 23 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 53.7 | 67.6 | +13.9 | B | CeilingB |
| 24 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 41.9 | 55.4 | +13.6 | B | CeilingB |
| 25 | Washington | Big Ten | 62.9 | 76.3 | +13.4 | B | CeilingB |
| 26 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 40.7 | 53.3 | +12.6 | B | CeilingB |
| 27 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 40.0 | 52.3 | +12.3 | B | CeilingB |
| 28 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 40.7 | 52.6 | +11.9 | B | CeilingC |
| 29 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 23.7 | 34.7 | +11.0 | B | CeilingC |
| 30 | Iowa | Big Ten | 67.3 | 78.1 | +10.9 | B | CeilingB |
| 31 | Toledo | Mid-American | 48.3 | 58.6 | +10.3 | B | CeilingC |
| 32 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 27.4 | 37.4 | +10.0 | B | CeilingC |
| 33 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 26.0 | 35.7 | +9.7 | B | CeilingC |
| 34 | BYU | Big 12 | 63.3 | 72.7 | +9.4 | B | CeilingB |
| 35 | Navy | American Athletic | 49.7 | 58.9 | +9.1 | B | CeilingC |
| 36 | UNLV | Mountain West | 47.4 | 56.1 | +8.7 | B | CeilingC |
| 37 | Kent State | Mid-American | 13.9 | 22.4 | +8.6 | B | CeilingC |
| 38 | Akron | Mid-American | 21.7 | 30.1 | +8.4 | B | CeilingC |
| 39 | Houston | Big 12 | 52.1 | 60.6 | +8.4 | B | CeilingC |
| 40 | Air Force | Mountain West | 37.1 | 45.4 | +8.3 | B | CeilingC |
| 41 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 36.0 | 43.6 | +7.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 42 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 30.6 | 37.6 | +7.0 | C | CeilingC |
| 43 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 34.0 | 40.4 | +6.4 | C | CeilingC |
| 44 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 38.9 | 45.1 | +6.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 45 | Purdue | Big Ten | 35.3 | 41.3 | +6.0 | C | CeilingC |
| 46 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 87.3 | 93.0 | +5.7 | C | CeilingB |
| 47 | Oregon | Big Ten | 81.4 | 87.0 | +5.6 | C | CeilingB |
| 48 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 56.7 | 62.0 | +5.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 49 | USC | Big Ten | 68.9 | 74.1 | +5.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 50 | Delaware | Conference USA | 29.4 | 34.4 | +5.0 | C | CeilingC |
| 51 | Memphis | American Athletic | 56.0 | 60.9 | +4.9 | C | CeilingC |
| 52 | Mississippi State | SEC | 51.0 | 55.9 | +4.9 | C | CeilingC |
| 53 | Nevada | Mountain West | 26.0 | 30.9 | +4.9 | C | CeilingC |
| 54 | UTSA | American Athletic | 50.4 | 55.3 | +4.9 | C | CeilingC |
| 55 | Ole Miss | SEC | 79.6 | 84.3 | +4.7 | C | CeilingB |
| 56 | Miami | ACC | 75.9 | 79.6 | +3.7 | C | CeilingC |
| 57 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 81.4 | 84.9 | +3.4 | C | CeilingC |
| 58 | Texas A&M | SEC | 76.1 | 79.6 | +3.4 | C | CeilingC |
| 59 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 53.1 | 56.4 | +3.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 60 | Troy | Sun Belt | 39.9 | 43.1 | +3.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 61 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 60.1 | 63.3 | +3.1 | C | CeilingC |
| 62 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 34.7 | 37.4 | +2.7 | C | CeilingC |
| 63 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 25.1 | 27.9 | +2.7 | C | CeilingC |
| 64 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 29.4 | 32.0 | +2.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 65 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 24.9 | 27.1 | +2.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 66 | Illinois | Big Ten | 66.9 | 68.4 | +1.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 67 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 32.3 | 33.9 | +1.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 68 | Army | American Athletic | 49.7 | 51.1 | +1.4 | C | CeilingC |
| 69 | Ohio | Mid-American | 42.9 | 44.3 | +1.4 | C | CeilingC |
| 70 | Oklahoma | SEC | 75.0 | 76.1 | +1.1 | C | CeilingC |
| 71 | Rice | American Athletic | 28.0 | 28.9 | +0.9 | C | CeilingC |
| 72 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 28.4 | 29.0 | +0.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 73 | Missouri | SEC | 70.0 | 70.6 | +0.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 74 | Tulane | American Athletic | 58.4 | 59.0 | +0.6 | C | CeilingC |
| 75 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 38.9 | 39.3 | +0.4 | C | CeilingC |
| 76 | Maryland | Big Ten | 50.6 | 50.9 | +0.3 | C | CeilingC |
| 77 | Louisville | ACC | 67.6 | 67.7 | +0.1 | C | CeilingC |
| 78 | Duke | ACC | 59.4 | 59.4 | +0.0 | C | CeilingC |
| 79 | Georgia | SEC | 84.6 | 84.4 | −0.1 | C | FloorC |
| 80 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 65.1 | 64.1 | −1.0 | C | FloorC |
| 81 | UTEP | Conference USA | 26.0 | 25.0 | −1.0 | C | FloorC |
| 82 | NC State | ACC | 58.1 | 56.9 | −1.3 | C | FloorC |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 18.7 | 17.1 | −1.6 | C | FloorC |
| 84 | Kansas | Big 12 | 57.4 | 55.9 | −1.6 | C | FloorC |
| 85 | SMU | ACC | 70.9 | 69.1 | −1.7 | C | FloorC |
| 86 | Florida International | Conference USA | 37.0 | 35.0 | −2.0 | C | FloorC |
| 87 | UAB | American Athletic | 29.4 | 27.4 | −2.0 | C | FloorC |
| 88 | Auburn | SEC | 68.7 | 66.6 | −2.1 | C | FloorC |
| 89 | Florida State | ACC | 62.4 | 60.3 | −2.1 | C | FloorC |
| 90 | App State | Sun Belt | 37.1 | 33.7 | −3.4 | C | FloorC |
| 91 | TCU | Big 12 | 66.7 | 61.9 | −4.9 | C | FloorC |
| 92 | UCF | Big 12 | 53.1 | 48.3 | −4.9 | C | FloorC |
| 93 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 64.7 | 58.9 | −5.9 | C | FloorC |
| 94 | California | ACC | 51.7 | 45.4 | −6.3 | D | FloorC |
| 95 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 57.7 | 51.4 | −6.3 | D | FloorC |
| 96 | Tennessee | SEC | 77.7 | 71.4 | −6.3 | D | FloorC |
| 97 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 51.6 | 45.1 | −6.4 | D | FloorC |
| 98 | Arkansas | SEC | 63.9 | 57.3 | −6.6 | D | FloorC |
| 99 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 43.3 | 36.6 | −6.7 | D | FloorD |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 59.3 | 52.6 | −6.7 | D | FloorC |
| 101 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 33.7 | 26.1 | −7.6 | D | FloorD |
| 102 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 60.1 | 52.1 | −8.0 | D | FloorC |
| 103 | Penn State | Big Ten | 84.6 | 75.9 | −8.7 | D | FloorC |
| 104 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 28.0 | 19.1 | −8.9 | D | FloorD |
| 105 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 21.3 | 11.9 | −9.4 | D | FloorF |
| 106 | Stanford | ACC | 42.9 | 33.1 | −9.7 | D | FloorD |
| 107 | Boise State | Mountain West | 64.3 | 54.4 | −9.9 | D | FloorD |
| 108 | Texas | SEC | 83.0 | 73.1 | −9.9 | D | FloorC |
| 109 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 45.6 | 35.6 | −10.0 | D | FloorD |
| 110 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 38.0 | 27.7 | −10.3 | D | FloorD |
| 111 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 38.9 | 28.4 | −10.4 | D | FloorD |
| 112 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 66.1 | 55.6 | −10.6 | D | FloorD |
| 113 | Liberty | Conference USA | 48.1 | 37.1 | −11.0 | D | FloorD |
| 114 | Baylor | Big 12 | 63.4 | 52.0 | −11.4 | D | FloorD |
| 115 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 71.9 | 60.0 | −11.9 | D | FloorD |
| 116 | Michigan | Big Ten | 79.9 | 67.7 | −12.1 | D | FloorD |
| 117 | San José State | Mountain West | 41.7 | 29.6 | −12.1 | D | FloorD |
| 118 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 44.1 | 31.9 | −12.3 | D | FloorD |
| 119 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 52.9 | 40.3 | −12.6 | D | FloorD |
| 120 | LSU | SEC | 78.7 | 64.7 | −14.0 | D | FloorD |
| 121 | Boston College | ACC | 52.3 | 37.9 | −14.4 | D | FloorD |
| 122 | South Carolina | SEC | 72.9 | 58.4 | −14.4 | D | FloorD |
| 123 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 29.7 | 15.0 | −14.7 | D | FloorF |
| 124 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 15.7 | 1.0 | −14.7 | D | FloorF |
| 125 | Alabama | SEC | 86.4 | 71.1 | −15.3 | D | FloorD |
| 126 | Clemson | ACC | 78.9 | 63.6 | −15.3 | D | FloorD |
| 127 | North Carolina | ACC | 55.9 | 40.6 | −15.3 | D | FloorD |
| 128 | Florida | SEC | 73.1 | 55.0 | −18.1 | F | FloorD |
| 129 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 46.3 | 27.3 | −19.0 | F | FloorF |
| 130 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 62.7 | 43.7 | −19.0 | F | FloorD |
| 131 | Colorado | Big 12 | 57.3 | 38.1 | −19.1 | F | FloorD |
| 132 | UCLA | Big Ten | 57.0 | 37.6 | −19.4 | F | FloorD |
| 133 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 31.7 | 10.3 | −21.4 | F | FloorF |
| 134 | Syracuse | ACC | 54.7 | 31.3 | −23.4 | F | FloorF |
| 135 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 59.9 | 35.6 | −24.3 | F | FloorF |
| 136 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 53.3 | 28.4 | −24.9 | F | FloorF |
No teams match these filters.