2026 · Program Trajectory Rating

The tier board.

See 2025 grades →

Live ratings as of 2026-10-26 · refresh weekly in season · August projections stay frozen as the graded benchmark

Conf

Biggest movers since August

National rank on current rating versus the August projected rank. 54 of 138 programs are currently rating in a different band than the one their projection bought — 27 higher, 27 lower.

Climbing

Liberty 60.7(#88 → #45)
UConn 51.0(#110 → #67)
James Madison 65.6(#72 → #30)
New Mexico 63.3(#75 → #36)
North Dakota State 62.3(#80 → #41)

Falling

Vanderbilt 48.0(#33 → #77)
California 38.3(#58 → #101)
Maryland 47.0(#41 → #81)
Rutgers 43.0(#59 → #96)
San Diego State 37.7(#67 → #104)

This is the current-form lens: every program re-ranked and re-banded on today's in-season SP+, not on August's projection. The big number is the team's rating right now; the small ▲▼ is how many places it has moved against its August projected rank, and a ↑↓ badge marks programs currently rating outside the band their projection bought. The bands themselves never move — Elite is still ≥ 80.0 — only which rating gets banded. The letter is the live grade (current SP+ measured against the frozen August projection); early in the season SP+ still leans on its preseason priors, so most letters sit near C and rank movement is the more informative signal. The August board remains the accountability record — the projection each team is graded against is fixed for the season and never revised by results. Switch to it above.

Elite

6 programs

Currently rating ≥ 80.0 — SP+ ≥ +21.0 right now.

Contender

16 programs

Currently 68.0 to < 80.0 — SP+ +12.6 to +21.0 right now.

Solid

37 programs

Currently 55.0 to < 68.0 — SP+ +3.5 to +12.6 right now.

23
Iowa↓
Big Ten · #23→#23
C
67.7
24
Oklahoma State
Big 12 · #49→#24 ▲25
B
67.7
25
Louisville↓
ACC · #26→#25 ▲1
C
67.4
26
Wake Forest
ACC · #57→#26 ▲31
B
67.4
27
Michigan↓
Big Ten · #15→#27 ▼12
D
66.4
28
South Carolina↓
SEC · #24→#28 ▼4
D
65.7
29
Boise State
Pac-12 · #55→#29 ▲26
B
65.6
30
James Madison↑
Sun Belt · #72→#30 ▲42
B
65.6
31
Florida↓
SEC · #22→#31 ▼9
D
65.1
32
Kentucky
SEC · #42→#32 ▲10
C
65.1
33
Oklahoma↓
SEC · #11→#33 ▼22
D
64.7
34
Texas A&M↓
SEC · #8→#34 ▼26
F
63.9
35
Washington↓
Big Ten · #16→#35 ▼19
D
63.6
36
New Mexico↑
Mountain West · #75→#36 ▲39
B
63.3
37
Penn State↓
Big Ten · #19→#37 ▼18
D
63.3
38
Virginia Tech
ACC · #36→#38 ▼2
C
62.9
39
Kansas State
Big 12 · #32→#39 ▼7
C
62.6
40
Wisconsin
Big Ten · #50→#40 ▲10
C
62.4
41
North Dakota State↑
Mountain West · #80→#41 ▲39
B
62.3
42
TCU
Big 12 · #31→#42 ▼11
C
62.3
43
Baylor
Big 12 · #52→#43 ▲9
C
62.1
44
Pittsburgh
ACC · #43→#44 ▼1
C
61.3
45
Liberty↑
Conference USA · #88→#45 ▲43
B
60.7
46
Memphis↑
American Athletic · #66→#46 ▲20
B
60.0
47
Duke
ACC · #45→#47 ▼2
C
59.7
48
Illinois
Big Ten · #30→#48 ▼18
D
59.7
49
Cincinnati
Big 12 · #60→#49 ▲11
C
59.6
50
Oregon State↑
Pac-12 · #89→#50 ▲39
B
59.4
51
Auburn
SEC · #28→#51 ▼23
D
59.3
52
Mississippi State
SEC · #47→#52 ▼5
C
58.6
53
Florida State
ACC · #29→#53 ▼24
D
58.3
54
Virginia
ACC · #38→#54 ▼16
C
58.3
55
Clemson↓
ACC · #21→#55 ▼34
D
56.7
56
UCF↑
Big 12 · #62→#56 ▲6
C
56.4
57
Minnesota
Big Ten · #40→#57 ▼17
D
55.6
58
North Carolina
ACC · #53→#58 ▼5
C
55.3
59
UTSA↑
American Athletic · #77→#59 ▲18
C
55.0
Building

37 programs

Currently 42.0 to < 55.0 — SP+ −5.6 to +3.5 right now.

60
Kansas↓
Big 12 · #56→#60 ▼4
C
54.0
61
Fresno State
Pac-12 · #76→#61 ▲15
C
53.7
62
Arizona State↓
Big 12 · #46→#62 ▼16
D
53.3
63
South Florida
American Athletic · #73→#63 ▲10
C
53.1
64
Toledo↑
Mid-American · #99→#64 ▲35
B
52.9
65
Texas State
Pac-12 · #79→#65 ▲14
C
52.1
66
Army
American Athletic · #86→#66 ▲20
B
51.4
67
UConn↑
FBS Independents · #110→#67 ▲43
B
51.0
68
Louisiana↑
Sun Belt · #103→#68 ▲35
B
50.6
69
Purdue
Big Ten · #70→#69 ▲1
C
50.3
70
West Virginia
Big 12 · #68→#70 ▼2
C
50.0
71
Arkansas↓
SEC · #51→#71 ▼20
D
49.4
72
North Texas↑
American Athletic · #107→#72 ▲35
B
49.1
73
Air Force
Mountain West · #87→#73 ▲14
C
48.9
74
NC State↓
ACC · #44→#74 ▼30
D
48.7
75
Georgia Tech↓
ACC · #39→#75 ▼36
D
48.4
76
Iowa State
Big 12 · #65→#76 ▼11
C
48.3
77
Vanderbilt↓
SEC · #33→#77 ▼44
F
48.0
78
Boston College
ACC · #74→#78 ▼4
C
47.9
79
Ohio↑
Mid-American · #109→#79 ▲30
B
47.9
80
Navy
American Athletic · #71→#80 ▼9
C
47.7
81
Maryland↓
Big Ten · #41→#81 ▼40
D
47.0
82
Tulsa↑
American Athletic · #92→#82 ▲10
C
46.9
83
UNLV
Mountain West · #61→#83 ▼22
D
46.9
84
Jacksonville State↑
Conference USA · #97→#84 ▲13
B
46.3
85
Louisiana Tech↑
Sun Belt · #101→#85 ▲16
B
46.3
86
Western Michigan↑
Mid-American · #90→#86 ▲4
C
46.1
87
Syracuse
ACC · #69→#87 ▼18
C
46.0
88
Michigan State
Big Ten · #63→#88 ▼25
D
45.7
89
Nevada↑
Mountain West · #108→#89 ▲19
B
45.6
90
Florida Atlantic↑
American Athletic · #91→#90 ▲1
C
45.1
91
East Carolina
American Athletic · #78→#91 ▼13
C
44.3
92
Miami (OH)
Mid-American · #83→#92 ▼9
C
44.0
93
Colorado
Big 12 · #64→#93 ▼29
D
43.9
94
Georgia Southern↑
Sun Belt · #102→#94 ▲8
B
43.1
95
App State↑
Sun Belt · #112→#95 ▲17
B
43.0
96
Rutgers↓
Big Ten · #59→#96 ▼37
D
43.0
Rebuilding

42 programs

Currently below 42.0 — SP+ < −5.6 right now.

97
Arkansas State
Sun Belt · #105→#97 ▲8
C
40.0
98
Wyoming
Mountain West · #104→#98 ▲6
C
39.6
99
Temple
American Athletic · #100→#99 ▲1
C
39.0
100
Florida International
Conference USA · #116→#100 ▲16
B
38.7
101
California↓
ACC · #58→#101 ▼43
F
38.3
102
Tulane↓
American Athletic · #84→#102 ▼18
C
38.3
103
Colorado State
Pac-12 · #106→#103 ▲3
C
38.0
104
San Diego State↓
Pac-12 · #67→#104 ▼37
D
37.7
105
Georgia State
Sun Belt · #137→#105 ▲32
A
36.9
106
Utah State
Pac-12 · #95→#106 ▼11
C
36.9
107
Hawai'i↓
Mountain West · #82→#107 ▼25
D
36.3
108
Troy
Sun Belt · #96→#108 ▼12
C
35.9
109
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt · #115→#109 ▲6
C
35.3
110
UAB
American Athletic · #124→#110 ▲14
B
35.1
111
Marshall
Sun Belt · #98→#111 ▼13
C
34.7
112
Stanford↓
ACC · #81→#112 ▼31
D
34.6
113
Massachusetts
Mid-American · #138→#113 ▲25
A
34.1
114
San José State
Mountain West · #121→#114 ▲7
C
33.9
115
South Alabama
Sun Belt · #117→#115 ▲2
C
33.6
116
Western Kentucky
Conference USA · #93→#116 ▼23
C
33.6
117
Delaware
Conference USA · #113→#117 ▼4
C
33.3
118
Buffalo
Mid-American · #111→#118 ▼7
C
32.9
119
New Mexico State
Conference USA · #126→#119 ▲7
B
30.9
120
Kennesaw State
Conference USA · #114→#120 ▼6
C
30.3
121
Washington State↓
Pac-12 · #85→#121 ▼36
D
29.9
122
Rice
American Athletic · #120→#122 ▼2
C
29.7
123
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American · #122→#123 ▼1
C
29.1
124
Old Dominion
Sun Belt · #94→#124 ▼30
D
29.0
125
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA · #135→#125 ▲10
B
28.3
126
Southern Miss
Sun Belt · #127→#126 ▲1
C
27.1
127
Central Michigan
Mid-American · #119→#127 ▼8
C
26.1
128
Missouri State
Conference USA · #128→#128
C
25.9
129
Sam Houston
Conference USA · #134→#129 ▲5
B
24.3
130
Bowling Green
Mid-American · #118→#130 ▼12
C
24.0
131
Ball State
Mid-American · #133→#131 ▲2
B
21.3
132
Kent State
Mid-American · #129→#132 ▼3
C
19.6
133
UL Monroe
Sun Belt · #136→#133 ▲3
C
15.4
134
UTEP
Mountain West · #125→#134 ▼9
D
15.0
135
Akron
Mid-American · #130→#135 ▼5
C
14.1
136
Charlotte
American Athletic · #132→#136 ▼4
C
13.7
137
Northern Illinois
Mountain West · #123→#137 ▼14
D
13.7
138
Sacramento State
Mid-American · #131→#138 ▼7
C
8.4