Building #80

North Dakota State

Mountain West · 2026 preseason baseline

Projection

45.6

SP+ preseason

−1.8

Returning prod.

55%

Recruiting

19%

2026 season · live grade · as of 2026-09-08

The 2026 season, so far.

B CeilingC

Tracking ahead of the projection.

Current SP+ +2.6 · SP+ rank #61 · updates weekly in season

Projection (frozen)

45.6

Playing like

53.7

Δ

+8.1

Δ grade

B

The live grade measures current in-season SP+ (Bill Connelly, via CFBD) against North Dakota State's frozen August projection of 45.6 — the same number that set the 2026 tier. Same mapping (score = 50 + SP+ × (50/35)) and the same A–F Δ bands as the 2025 grade below. It recomputes each week as SP+ updates; the projection and tier do not. Early in the season, in-season SP+ still leans heavily on its preseason priors, so most live grades start near C and drift as results accumulate.

2026 portal cycle

Inside a standard deviation of zero.

−0.52z

talent-weighted z-score

applied: −0.10 pts

Top gains

  • 3★ IOLKene Anene from Kansas
  • unrated LBKeith Williams Jr. from Cornell
  • 2★ PCaleb McGrath from Minnesota

Top losses

  • 3★ EDGEToby Anene to Colorado
  • 3★ CBJailen Duffie to UCF
  • 3★ CBJaquise Alexander to Delaware

Portal moves are weighted by recruiting stars, position (QB and skill positions weighted higher), and eligibility. Withdrawn entrants are excluded. The z-score is normalized across teams appearing in the 2026 portal cycle. See the full portal leaderboard →